Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Championship Week, Part 2
As the season draws to a close, I cannot thank you enough for staying with me and reading these articles every week. Hope you won a league this season, but if you’re still playing in week 18, those are the remaining players that I would target. It’s a smaller pool, of course. But like I mentioned in the last or two last posts, you should probably have your list mostly set in stone, with the exception of maybe one Flex RB / WR option.
I’ll try to be in the NFL Seasonal Chat tonight, but I’ll still be at work relatively late tonight. I’ll be checking Discord on my phone, but I don’t think it will be incredibly busy since most of the leagues are over. But I’m going to check in every once in a while tonight and see if any of you have any questions. Check out the latest set of Waiver Cable Targets for this season!
Trey Lance (SF; FAAB submission: 5-8%) The volume wasn’t great, but he proved to be an efficient passer and he didn’t make too many mistakes. Certainly he came against the Houston Texans who don’t pose a big threat. There’s always a possibility that Jimmy Garoppolo’s thumb will get him to play in Week 18. But if Lance gets the go-ahead, the game could require Lance to take control of the game and run more. I’d be nervous if he threw it over 30 times against the Rams’ defense, but I’d be more intrigued if he showed what he can do with his legs.
Taysom Hill (NO; FAAB submission: 5-7%) We haven’t really seen Hill pour this on opponents for fantastic ends since the Jets a few weeks ago. And looking at the number of players, there aren’t too many reliable players available in less than 50% of the leagues. Tua Tagovailoa is drawing the Patriots defense, but he’s had such a low floor since Week 10, Tyler Huntley is useless if Lamar Jackson starts, while Baker Mayfield and Big Ben both look pretty beaten up. The question of availability therefore comes into play. Hill is fairly available and gets a good game against the Falcons who will be looking to play spoiler against their division rival after the Falcons were knocked out of the playoffs last week. It’s a good game for Hill to try and showcase his rushing prowess while trying to sneak the Saints into the playoffs. The Falcons have quietly been pretty decent against opposing quarterbacks lately. Josh Allen’s day was saved with two rushed touchdowns, but they knocked him out three times, and they’ve only allowed a total of nine touchdowns since Week 11.
Boston Scott (PHI; FAAB submission: 25-35%) This is a situation that deserves to be watched. The Eagles have placed an abundance of players on the COVID / Reserve roster, including Scott, Jordan Howard, Dallas Goedert and Jason Kelce on offense. But with the new COVID protocols, there’s a good chance they’ll all play this weekend if they’re able to give a negative COVID test. No reason to panic just yet, but Scott found the end zone twice on Sunday, giving him three scores in the past two weeks. With a half-meaningful game against the Cowboys this week, Scott could once again be heavily supported.
Ke’Shawn Vaughn (VG; FAAB submission: 15%) Ronald Jones II doesn’t look great as a “featured” back for the Buccaneers. He’s racked up 94 rushing yards on 30 carries over the past two weeks. Sure, the volume was there, but it wasn’t effective. In addition, he suffers from an ankle injury. Vaughn looked like the player the Bucs hoped he would be when they drafted him in 2020. He’s been given a bigger role in the offense over the past two weeks and could play a big role on Sunday. if Jones misses the game. It should be noted that Vaughn himself suffers from a rib injury, but on Monday night it seemed more likely that Vaughn would appear than Jones.
Dare Ogunbowale (JAC; FAAB submission: 12%) If you were brave enough to start DO last week against New England, you were rewarded with a late touchdown that saved the day. The double-digit keys deserve to be seen as a flex option in Week 18 against the Colts. With the exception of the disastrous game against the Bucs, the Colts have done quite well, giving up just 140 rushing yards to opposing running backs in their last three games. If he finds the end zone this week, take it and run. You just need to hope he can do it for the third week in a row.
Braxton Berrios (NYJ; FAAB offer: 10%) Berrios was an absolute gem last week. It was arguably the only correct part I had in my DFS line. He scored twice and had eight catches on 12 targets. He now has 29 targets in his last four games and it’s that time of year when teams start to see what they have with certain strengths on their roster. Berrios put on a hell of a show, but unfortunately the Jets get the Bills next week which is a tough draw. But there’s always that chance that Buffalo would rest the players in the second half with the game in hand. Either way, if you play in week 18, chances are you will be playing Berrios compared to other players who have brought you this far.
Zay jones (LV; FAAB offer: 10%) Jones, like Berrios, has been on a good short run since the start of December. In his last four games in particular, Jones has 34 targets with 25 catches. Has he found the end zone? No, not since week 1. But there is clearly some volume available for him. DeSean Jackson doesn’t do much and Bryan Edwards hasn’t been very involved. A lot of it is the Hunter Renfrow and Zay Jones show while Darren Waller is out, and that helped the Raiders get a three-game winning streak and they will now face the Chargers for a playoff spot on Sunday night. I’d be shocked if the Raiders didn’t find a way to target Jones seven to nine times in a game up for grabs.
Laquon Treadwell (JAC; FAAB submission: 7-8%) It feels weird to associate Treadwell with the label of “decent ground”. But that’s where we are and it’s not a bad thing. Since Week 12, Treadwell has played six straight games with at least 50 receiving yards and he’s also had at least four catches in each of those games. He hasn’t scored this year, but in the deeper PPR leagues there are worse options. The Jags will end the season against the Colts and while Indy hasn’t been that great against opposing wide receivers, they are by no means world batsmen.
Cyril Grayson (VG; FAAB submission: 3-4%) I’m not incredibly crazy to play Grayson, but he has straight games of over 80 receiving yards and with Chris Godwin on the shelf and Antonio Brown doing in Tampa Bay, you have to imagine he could see a role. more important in the offense. It looks like Tom Brady trusts him, but the sample size is so small and any receiver on the depth map could emerge, but Grayson looks like a strong candidate for a Week 18 entry.
Hunter Henri (NE; FAAB submission: 7%) If he’s there I’ll go back to the well predicting he’ll find the end zone next week. The Pats lost 50 points in Jacksonville last week. If I had known that before the game, as well as the target trend he’s been seeing lately, then I would have felt good that he is scoring. New England travel to Miami this week to potentially improve their own playoff standings. Miami has nothing to do. Their playoff hopes are lost and they can’t spoil here except to prevent New England from winning the division. If Henry is there, he could prove to be a reliable streamer in this post this week.
Cole Kmet (CHI; FAAB submission: 5-6%) Kmet is a tough player to sell. He plays enough snaps and has the pedigree to be great in the NFL, but he just can’t get into the end zone. It’s been almost 13 months since Kmet scored a touchdown. However, he’s still involved in the offense with at least five targets in six straight games. The quality of the quarterback he is at the mercy of is not an elite, but beggars cannot choose. The Packers got a Bye in the first round, so maybe they’ll leave some starters on the defense, which could see Kmet end the season on a high note.
Defense / Special teams
Tennessee Titans – If you’re targeting a streamer at any position this week, you want to pay attention to teams / players with something to play for. If the Titans beat Houston this week, they clinch the AFC seed and get the coveted Bye in the first round. This game started off with an over / under at 44.0 points and it is slowly being bet to 43 and the Titans are favored by ten points. Houston could try to fight on offense, but it should ultimately be a game Tennessee secures easily.
Kansas City Chiefs – There is obviously a risk here after the Chiefs’ defense was parted by Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase last week. However, I still buy into that defense against Denver this week. This is apparently a must for the Chiefs if they want the Bye in the AFC first round. Returning in Week 13 against the Broncos, the Chiefs recorded a fantastic 13 points and they opened as three-point favorites for Week 18, but it has since been bet that they are ten-point favorites. Teddy Bridgewater hasn’t been very good lately, so the D / ST Chiefs should provide a relatively good floor for anyone playing in Week 18.
Washington Football Team – There is a good opportunity here for Washington to end the season on a high note against the Giants. Opposing D / STs have dumped it on the G-Men in recent weeks. With the revolving door at quarterback for Joe Judge and Co. here are D / ST’s last seven fantastic performances against New York: 13, 6, 10, 6, 13, 18 and 21. The Bears completely embarrassed them this week. last and it’s a team that has only had three turnovers in their previous six games heading into Week 17. Washington and New York are limping to the finish line this year, but Vegas currently have Washington favored by a touchdown and the over / under sit at 38.5 points.